This article is a work
in progress and regularly updated as I study this topic.
Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are still the leading cause of death globally (OWID), but vary markedly by demographics and in relation to various lifestyle factors. In particular, in the second half of the 20th century, the seminal Seven Countries Study illuminated associations with diet, especially saturated fatty acids (SFAs), which at 50-year follow-up remain strongly associated with coronary heart disease mortality (n=16 cohorts, r=0.92) 1. Many other studies have further probed this relationship, and while some heterogeneity emerged, so has context. For instance, some prospective cohort studies and meta-analyses thereof fail to find independent associations with SFA intake 2; however, studies performing substitution analyses generally report that replacing sources of SFAs with (plant and marine-sourced) unsaturated fatty acids (UFAs) or complex carbohydrates lowers CVD risk and mortality (e.g. US 3–8, Europe 9–11 and pooled 12,13). Importantly, in the US it was also revealed that SFAs are typically replaced by refined grains and added sugars, which are also associated with CVD, potentially explaining prior null findings 4. In addition, dietary SFAs are also highly correlated with animal-sourced MUFAs (r=>0.8), which may have obscured favourable associations seen only with plant sources 7,8.